U.S. stock indexes ended Tuesday with mixed results as investors balanced strong corporate earnings against growing concerns over trade policy. While upbeat reports from major banks and potential White House policy shifts offered support, lingering global trade tensions kept market volatility elevated.
Financial Sector Takes the Lead
One of the day's key drivers was the financial sector. Bank of America shares jumped 3% after reporting better-than-expected net interest income of $14.44 billion, beating the forecast of $14.36 billion. Other banking giants like Wells Fargo, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley also ended the day higher, along with several regional banks. Investors welcomed comments from the U.S. Treasury suggesting potential adjustments to the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR), which could allow banks to increase their holdings of U.S. Treasuries during periods of market stress.
Looking Ahead: All Eyes on Data and the Fed
Even with a holiday-shortened week, markets remain data-heavy. Key upcoming events include:
Wednesday: U.S. retail sales and industrial production data, and a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Thursday: U.S. housing starts and building permits.
Earnings season continues, with investors assessing corporate resilience amid geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures.
Fed Holds Steady as Bond Yields Fall
Falling bond yields gave stocks a lift. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 4.333%, driven by speculation about regulatory easing and softer-than-expected import price data. Deputy Treasury Secretary Fokender hinted at changes to banking regulations that could ease pressure on liquidity in the Treasury market.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic reiterated a cautious stance, noting the Fed should hold interest rates steady until there’s more clarity on U.S. trade policy. Futures markets are pricing in a 20% chance of a rate cut in May.
Economic Data and Corporate Catalysts
Economic reports came in better than expected: the Empire State Manufacturing Index rose to -8.1 (vs. -13.5 expected), and non-oil import prices remained flat—an encouraging sign for inflation trends.
Key corporate movers included:
Rocket Lab (+10%) — won a contract for hypersonic test launches.
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (+5%) — Elliott Investment disclosed a $1.5 billion stake.
Netflix (+4%) — plans to reach a $1 trillion valuation by 2030.
MercadoLibre, KKR, Citigroup — advanced on bullish analyst coverage and upgrades.
However, not all news was positive:
Allegro Microsystems (-9%) — ON Semiconductor withdrew a $6.9B acquisition bid.
Dow Inc (-3%) and Air Products (-2%) — downgraded by major banks.
Bristol Myers (-2%) — late-stage drug trial failure.
Trade Uncertainty Weighs on Sentiment
Despite positive momentum in some sectors, trade risks remained a dominant concern. EU Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič said that negotiations with the U.S. had seen "minimal progress." While the EU offered to eliminate tariffs on industrial goods, including cars, the U.S. declined the proposal. Meanwhile, the U.S. Commerce Department launched an investigation into the national security impact of semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports—widely seen as a precursor to new tariffs.
China responded in kind: according to Bloomberg, Beijing ordered its airlines to halt new Boeing purchases, sending Boeing stock down more than 2%. This event highlighted the escalating "trade distrust" between the two economic superpowers.